Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 52.1%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleApr 1, 25, 10:21 PM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Major shall be defined as at least 100,000 deaths per year.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035? resolve?
- Will Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2035.
- How is Will Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Major shall be defined as at least 100,000 deaths per year.