PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December · —
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Stored reference
December 10%Leader of 4 outcomes
December 10%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$10.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$582.3
Bid / Ask
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DecemberSpread
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Comments
2
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 14, 25, 8:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
December 31, 2025Lost
June 30,Lost
MarchLost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurCivil War in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a civil war in Hungary in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date.
- Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.