FutuurCurrent implied probabilityYes 23%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100.1
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes23%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FutuurThis pageMost active | 77% | — | $100.1 | $0 | 11 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets | 76% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
5mo
24.3%
75.7%
Community forecast15 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.6K
24h Vol$20.3
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
$6.5MStarmer - UK PM: 97%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
$995.3KDecember 31: 38%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by...?
$334.4KAugust 31: 30%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference?
$187.8KAI / Artificial Intelligence: 99%
KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
$50.9KBefore September: 16%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
$5.8KBefore January 21, 2029: 24%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%Blockchain.News
Katz warns force vs Iran as Polymarket puts Dec 2026 US-Iran deal at 43.5%Blockchain.News
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%Blockchain.News
US strikes in Iran shift Polymarket travel bets, Trump down to 15%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.