Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1?
PoliticsOne-OffRegulationSpaceTechGeopoliticsMiddle EastEurope20dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.6%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 26, 26, 4:05 PM UTCSep 29, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if New Zealand's government-introduced Online Safety Bill banning under-16s from social media receives a first-reading vote in Parliament before October 1, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- The vote's outcome does not matter.
- Debate without a recorded first-reading vote does not count.
- Sources: New Zealand Government and New Zealand Parliament.
- The market closes twelve hours before October 1 begins in New Zealand.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1? resolve?
- Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1? is scheduled to resolve on September 29, 2026.
- How is Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if New Zealand's government-introduced Online Safety Bill banning under-16s from social media receives a first-reading vote in Parliament before October 1, 2026.