KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 89%
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Dec 3, 25, 11:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will H.R.4486 - Microplastics Safety Act pass before EOY2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Kids Online Safety Act becomes law before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- The law must do one of the following: require at least some online platforms to act in the best interest of a user that (and because) the platform knows or reasonably should know is a minor; require at least some online platforms to provide, adopt, or implement readily accessible safeguards specifically for minors, such as limiting the ability of other individuals to communicate with the minor, or prevent other users from viewing their personal data, or other similar action that protects minors; or be titled "Kids Online Safety Act".
Open markets
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $14.3M
- 24h Vol
- $157.6K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-7.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-29.0pt24%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $16.5K
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.1%
+5 more outcomes
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law??
- Kalshi prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law? resolve?
- Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Kids Online Safety Act becomes law before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.