KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Mar 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Mar 1, 2027 55.5%
Before Mar 1, 2027 55.5%Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$759.9
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Mar 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Mar 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act?
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KalshiWill the SAVE Act become law by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Michigan HB 4938 (“Anticorruption of Public Morals Act”) become law with its VPN ban intact by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms has become law after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts if enacted under that name, including as amended. Other legislation, including a renamed version or a larger bill such as a defense authorization or government funding bill, counts if all three of the Act's core permitting reforms become law, in one or more laws, after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027: (1) deadlines for, or limits on judicial review of, environmental reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act; (2) limits on the federal government's ability to revoke, suspend or withdraw already-issued federal permits; and (3) new Federal Energy Regulatory Commission authority over the siting or cost allocation of inte…
Settles via:Library of Congress
Rules for each outcome
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms has become law after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts if enacted under that name, including as amended. Other legislation, including a renamed version or a larger bill such as a defense authorization or government funding bill, counts if all three of the Act's core permitting reforms become law, in one or more laws, after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027: (1) deadlines for, or limits on judicial review of, environmental reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act; (2) limits on the federal government's ability to revoke, suspend or withdraw already-issued federal permits; and (3) new Federal Energy Regulatory Commission authority over the siting or cost allocation of inte…
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts if enacted under that name, including as amended. Other legislation, including a renamed version or a larger bill such as a defense authorization or government funding bill, counts if all three of the Act's core permitting reforms become law, in one or more laws, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027: (1) deadlines for, or limits on judicial review of, environmental reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act; (2) limits on the federal government's ability to revoke, suspend or withdraw already-issued federal permits; and (3) new Federal Energy Regulatory Commission authority over the siting or cost allocation of inte…
