How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 56 · —
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Stored price
Above 68 56%Market line of 8 lines
Above 68 56%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$246
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 56Spread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Above 56
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Rules
If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 68, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts under that name, including as amended. Other legislation, including a renamed version or a larger bill such as a defense authorization or government funding bill, counts if it includes all three of the Act's core permitting reforms: (1) deadlines for, or limits on judicial review of, environmental reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act; (2) limits on the federal government's ability to revoke, suspend or withdraw already-issued federal permits; and (3) new Federal Energy Regulatory Commission authority over the siting or cost allocation of interstate electric transmission lines. If the Senate's first vote clearing qualifying legislation is on a conference report or on a motion to concur in a House amendment, that vote counts as the final vote on passage. The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 56
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 56, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 60, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 68, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 72
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 72, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 76
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 76, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 80, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 84
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 84, then the market resolves to Yes.
