PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 89%-2.0pt
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.5
Liquidity
$8.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 13.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 10:09 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Illinois' AI safety bill have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurWill the Kids Online Safety Act become law?
KalshiWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 89% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? resolve?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.