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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

21.0% (24h)RegulationAIOne-OffUS Politics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 35%+0.2%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$14

Liquidity

$782.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

20.0% / 50.0%

Spread

150.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+25.5%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Nov 12, 25, 10:11 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes35%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
  • - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
  • - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
  • - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
  • - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
  • - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
  • - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".