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Current community forecastKurzgesagt 100%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 1:03 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Which YouTube channels will post their first video that primarily focuses on AI Safety in 2026.
- The video must be primarily about AI Safety, Control, Alignment, Governance and associated existential/societal scale risks.
- I would include Gradual Disempowerment-style risks, AI-enabled coups, extreme power concentration and value lock in etc as long as they are clearly recognisable as such.
- It must be a full length video, not a short/promo.
- If it wouldn't feel out of place in major AIS channels/podcasts/forums/venue/training program syllabus then it counts (e.g. Rational Animations, Rob Miles, 80k, LW/EA/AlignmentForum, BlueDot, MATS etc..).
- Links, references and calls to action to relevant AI Safety orgs aren't strictly necessarily but would be a strong signal.
