Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.5% as of October 22, 2026.

When does Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? resolve?

Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.

How is Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $78,750 or above98.5%
• $78,500 or above98.5%
• $78,250 or above99.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$1M

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 260-279+27.0pt41.4%
• 280-299+24.0pt31.3%
• 240-259-17.0pt12.1%

+23 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 10am EDT?

• $80,800 or above98.5%
• $73,800 or above99.5%
• $80,600 or above99.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $76,500 or above98.5%
• $75,000 or above+4.0pt98.5%
• $75,500 or above98%

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.1pt14.6%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99-0.2pt13.1%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.1pt

KALSHI

BNB price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $650 or above+6.0pt65.5%
• $695 or above+2.0pt66.5%
• $710 or above+1.0pt

• Where will it rain on Oct 22, 2026?
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• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• ETH price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
• Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
• Google market share this week
• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 22, 2026?
• Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 22, 2026 at 10am EDT?