Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
RegulationOne-OffAIPolitics5moFutuurCurrent implied probabilityYes 20%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100.1
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes20%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FutuurThis pageMost active | 80% | — | $100.1 | $0 | 13 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets | 66% | — | — | — | 12 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
5mo
33.9%
66.1%
Community forecast39 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$8.6K
24h Vol$50
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.