Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (95%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 10:08 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 2, 2026, 12:34 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes95%
No5%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PolymarketWill Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
PolymarketRussia to take Kyiv by force in 2026?
FutuurWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026?
FutuurRules
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annually ranks cities by livability, releasing a free summary report every summer.
- The Global Livability Index 2023 ranked Ukraine's capital,Kyiv (Kiev), at 165th out of 173 cities "owing to the damage the war has done to its stability, infrastructure and general liveability." The Global Livability Index 2024 kept Kyiv in the bottom 10, and in 2025 it did so again.
- Here are all of the 10 least livable cities of 2025:
- [image]Will Kyiv remain among the bottom 10 least livable cities in the EIU's Global Livability Index 2026?