Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 64.3%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJan 1, 26, 4:58 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annually ranks cities by livability, releasing a free summary report every summer.
- The Global Livability Index 2023 ranked Ukraine's capital,Kyiv (Kiev), at 165th out of 173 cities "owing to the damage the war has done to its stability, infrastructure and general liveability." The Global Livability Index 2024 kept Kyiv in the bottom 10, and in 2025 it did so again.
- Here are all of the 10 least livable cities of 2025:
- [image]Will Kyiv remain among the bottom 10 least livable cities in the EIU's Global Livability Index 2026?
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.8pt3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.7M
- 24h Vol
- $487.2K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.5pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $111.1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- UNRWA+1.9pt9%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- International Court of Justice+0.9pt6%
+17 more outcomes
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026? resolve?
- Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annually ranks cities by livability, releasing a free summary report every summer.