Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
GeopoliticsOne-OffChessSportsRussia / Ukraine3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 80.8%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 13, 25, 8:24 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if there are documented instances of long queues (>1 hour wait time) for basic consumer goods in at least 3 major Russian cities during 2025, as reported by major international news outlets (Reuters, AP, Bloomberg).
- Resolution will be based on multiple independent reports.
- Sources: https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/03/is-the-kremlin-overconfident-about-russias-economic-stability https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/risks-russias-two-speed-economy-2025
- This is a duplicate of this market, but with the length extended to include 2026.
- Russia's economy faces significant challenges due to international sanctions and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
- While the Kremlin projects confidence about economic stability, some experts warn of potential shortages and economic instability in the future.
