Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 25%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$33.7K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquiditySpread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 1:24 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022.
- Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing).
- Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market.