Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 9%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31 9%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$163.4
Liquidity
$24.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
8
7d Change
-0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 1:24 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Market depth · December 31
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PolymarketRules
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022.
- Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing).
- Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market.