Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 61.9%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJun 22, 26, 4:25 AM UTCFeb 1, 31, 5:12 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves based on length of tenure according to wikipedia or in case not recorded there, significant publications of record or authoritative media.
- From being instilled by the crown to resignation to the crown.
- Market closure date will be adjusted to ensure stays open in normal circumstances to successor submitting resignation to crown.
