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Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 99.8%
Forecasters
49
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJun 4, 24, 4:21 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer's Ipsos favorability go above 50% before the next UK election?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiPrime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
KalshiRules
N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.
- Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.
