Current community forecast
No 97.1%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJun 13, 24, 7:43 AM UTCDec 31, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.
- (Note that if there is a general election in the summer of 2029, then the end of 2031 will be 2.5 years into that parliament.
- However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve YES, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2031).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031? resolve?
- Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2031.
- How is Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.