Current community forecast
No 97.9%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJun 4, 24, 2:15 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is PM on 31 December 2029.
- (Note that this is at least 2 general elections away from when this question was created (4 June 2024) as there must be an election by July 2029.
- However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve true, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2029).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029? resolve?
- Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is PM on 31 December 2029.