Current community forecast
No 97.9%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJun 4, 24, 2:15 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is PM on 31 December 2029.
- (Note that this is at least 2 general elections away from when this question was created (4 June 2024) as there must be an election by July 2029.
- However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve true, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2029).
