Current community forecast
No 67.5%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleApr 21, 26, 12:42 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Update 2026-04-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Win" means the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour party (not necessarily a majority).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election? resolve?
- If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-04-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Win" means the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour party (not necessarily a majority).