If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election??

Manifold Markets prices No at 61.3% as of October 24, 2026.

When does If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election? resolve?

If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-04-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Win" means the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour party (not necessarily a majority).

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