Current community forecast
Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 2.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleFeb 27, 26, 3:56 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 7:34 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
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PolymarketRules
Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
- Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
- Stay on= be an mp continuously until then.
- If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
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