Current community forecast
New leader (&PM) from within Labour as his successor, with no general election preceding 100%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleFeb 7, 26, 10:09 AM UTCSep 14, 29, 9:08 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
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Manifold MarketsRules
All markets on this question will resolve N/A if Keir Starmer does not resign or get pushed out.
- Markets are open for additions from anyone and will resolve based on their titles.
- Update 2026-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This answer resolves YES if a new Labour leader takes office without a general election being called to elect that leader.
- A general election called after the new leader takes office (e.g., during a honeymoon period) does not affect the resolution of this answer.
