Current implied probability
December 31 5%
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$26
Liquidity
$14.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.1% / 5.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
+0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 10:06 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiWho will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham's departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Andy Burnham, the Government of the United Kingdom, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Burnham has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person's resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave office in 2 years," nor "I will not be in office forever," would qualify).
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 5% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date? resolve?
- Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham's departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.