Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.5%
Forecasters
167
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Nov 6, 24, 8:01 PM UTCNov 15, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?
Manifold Markets🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins the 2024 U.S. election, will voters “not have to do it anymore”?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Resolves YES if Trump resigns/dies/etc. so that JD Vance officially takes over the presidential office before the 2028 election.
- (It is not sufficient for Vance to be acting president)
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- I won't bet on this market.
