If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 81.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 56 minutes ago

Lagging

Aug 14, 24, 3:27 PM UTCJan 11, 29, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Report a data issue with this market

If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 81.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 56 minutes ago

Lagging

Aug 14, 24, 3:27 PM UTCJan 11, 29, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?

Manifold Markets

Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?

Manifold Markets

Will Donald Trump burp into the microphone and then say "Pardon me" during his presidency?

Manifold Markets

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Kalshi

Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?

Kalshi

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Polymarket

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
When does If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term? resolve?: If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term? is scheduled to resolve on January 11, 2029.

If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?

If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?

Frequently asked questions

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