Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection16d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 88%
No 88%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$816.9
Low open interestBid / Ask
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NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 6:17 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
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Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- “Blocks” means that USPS refuses to accept, returns, holds, or materially delays ballot mail because of voter-list, barcode, certification, portal-submission, or similar election-specific requirements imposed pursuant to the covered measure. The threshold may be aggregated across incidents, but each ballot counts only once; warnings, promptly corrected interruptions, and ordinary postal problems unrelated to the covered measure do not qualify. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
