If Trump wins the 2024 U.S. election, will voters “not have to do it anymore”?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionGeopolitics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
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18
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 24, 2:48 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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Trump told the crowd to “get out and vote, just this time”, adding that “you won’t have to do it any more.”
- https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/30/donald-trump-wont-have-to-vote-anymore-fox-interview
- Resolves YES if Trump wins the 2024 election and there is no election in 2028 due to an authoritarian takeover of the U.S. government.
- If there is no election in 2028 due to other reasons, such as war (due to exogenous factors that are not related to any Trump-related takeover) or natural disaster or act of god, this question resolves NA.
- Otherwise this question resolves NO.
