Will JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.3%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleFeb 12, 26, 8:01 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Resolves YES if JD Vance is the Republican nominee and Gavin Newsom is the Democratic nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential general election.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election resolve?
- Will JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is Will JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if JD Vance is the Republican nominee and Gavin Newsom is the Democratic nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential general election.