Will Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 53%
No 53%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$603.8
Low liquidityTraders
11
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1
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is elected President of the United States in the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Resolution will be based primarily on the official results declared by the Federal Election Commission (FEC), and other official U.S. government sources such as state certifications aggregated by the National Archives.
- If Gavin Newsom is the winner of the Electoral College and is therefore the President-elect, the market resolves to "Yes".
- If any other candidate is the winner, the market resolves to "No".
- Market Period: This market concerns the outcome of the November 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Futuur may decide to resolve the market at any point after 7 Nov 2028, once it considers that the official election results, concession speeches, and any eventual legal actions or recounts have conclusively clarified who the upcoming president will be.
