Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 82.6%
Forecasters
109
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 15, 24, 10:24 PM UTCDec 22, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRules
Resolves to Yes if Gavin Newsom is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028
- Resolve No otherwise Resolves NA if the presidential election was not held in 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028? resolve?
- Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 22, 2028.
- How is Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to Yes if Gavin Newsom is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028