Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 58%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 4, 26, 7:36 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill the gop ticket in 2028 be Jd Vance for President, Marco Rubio for vice president?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Marco Rubio win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Resolves yes if Marco Rubio, jd Vance, or Gavin Newsom win the 2028 election.
- Must be presidential nominee.
- If one of them is vp nominee and wins, doesn’t count.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 58% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? resolve?
- Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Marco Rubio, jd Vance, or Gavin Newsom win the 2028 election.