Current implied probability
No 80%
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$4.2K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRules
US Presidential Election November 7 2028.
- Will Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028??
- ForecastEx prices No at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028? resolve?
- Will Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 8, 2029.
- How is Will Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Presidential Election November 7 2028.