Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
One-OffUS PoliticsElection3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.9%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMar 29, 25, 7:07 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Democrats gain a net total of 38 or more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections as measured by the Associated Press.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections? resolve?
- Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria