Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
One-OffUS PoliticsElectionPolitics2026 US Midterms2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.7%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 29, 25, 7:07 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Democrats gain a net total of 38 or more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections as measured by the Associated Press.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
