Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsEl SalvadorOne-OffElection4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Nuevas Ideas (NI) · —
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Stored reference
Nuevas Ideas (NI) 77%Leader of 11 outcomes
Nuevas Ideas (NI) 77%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$156K
High liquidityBid / Ask
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Nuevas Ideas (NI)Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 1:33 PM UTCMar 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Nuevas Ideas (NI)
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Rules
Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election, compared to before the election.
- For the purposes of this market, the number of seats a party held before the election will be the number of seats attributed to that party in the official final results of the February 4, 2024 Salvadoran legislative election, as published by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador: Nuevas Ideas (NI) 54, ARENA 2, PCN 2, PDC 1, and Vamos 1.
- All other parties will be considered to have held 0 seats.
- Changes to the composition of the Legislative Assembly after the 2024 election, including resignations, replacements, party switches, or changes in parliamentary-group affiliation, will not be considered.
- A party's seats gained will be calculated as the number of seats attributed to that party in the official results of the 2027 election minus the number of seats it held before the election, as defined above.
