What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms10d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTrump is incumbent president 96.8%Leader of 26 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 26, 7:16 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurWill there be demonstration larger than the one in 1978, before the US midterm elections 2026, for the ERA?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketRules
This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve individually to YES or NO (or N/A if the outcome is completely unverifiable or a precondition is unmet) based on official election results, leadership votes, and political outcomes of the 2026 US midterm elections and subsequent congressional organization.
- Feel free to add your own markets.
- I suggest to add answers that have no markets yet.
