Will California courts *sentence* anyone to death in 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffCrime & JusticeUS PoliticsSociety & Culture1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.7%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 26, 5:52 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PredictItRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at least one individual is formally sentenced to death by a California state court between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027 (inclusive, Pacific Time).
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- The resolution does NOT depend on whether an actual execution takes place.
- Resolution will be determined by official state reporting or tracking organizations:
- Reputable media coverage citing verified California Superior Court sentencing orders.
