Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts
Latin AmericaOne-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsCrime & Justice3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77.5%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 3:33 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:33 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if Nicolás Maduro is sentenced to capital punishment by any US court before January 1, 2030.
- Clarifications:
- Courts included: Any US federal or state court with jurisdiction
- Sentence timing: Counts when the trial court issues the sentence, regardless of appeals status or subsequent overturn
- Multiple trials: If sentenced in ANY trial, resolves YES (prior acquittals don't matter)
- Does NOT count: International tribunals, foreign courts, or courts with US participation but not US courts proper
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 78% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts resolve?
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Nicolás Maduro is sentenced to capital punishment by any US court before January 1, 2030.