KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 12:15 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals 35%Leader of 5 outcomes
River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals 35%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$39K
Open interest
$35.1K
High open interestSpread
17.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 26, 11:06 PM UTCOct 26, 26, 2:15 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals77%
River Plate wins by more than 2.5 goals49%
Racing Avellaneda wins by more than 1.5 goals4%
Racing Avellaneda wins by more than 2.5 goals1%
River Plate wins by more than 3.5 goals2%
River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals35%
River Plate wins by more than 2.5 goals9%
River Plate wins by more than 3.5 goals2%
Racing Avellaneda wins by more than 2.5 goals2%
Racing Avellaneda wins by more than 1.5 goals1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
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Rules for each outcome
- River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals in the River Plate vs Racing Avellaneda professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- River Plate wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If River Plate wins by more than 2.5 goals in the River Plate vs Racing Avellaneda professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- River Plate wins by more than 3.5 goals
- If River Plate wins by more than 3.5 goals in the River Plate vs Racing Avellaneda professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Racing Avellaneda wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Racing Avellaneda wins by more than 2.5 goals in the River Plate vs Racing Avellaneda professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Racing Avellaneda wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Racing Avellaneda wins by more than 1.5 goals in the River Plate vs Racing Avellaneda professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.