What are the current odds for Canal from the Pacific to the Atrato river by 2050??

Manifold Markets prices No at 80.2% as of October 18, 2026.

Canal from the Pacific to the Atrato river by 2050?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 80.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Stale

Dec 16, 23, 12:23 AM UTCJan 1, 51, 5:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The Atrato River in Colombia was considered as a location for a trans-isthmian canal, before the eventual construction of the Panama Canal.

This resolves YES if, at any time between now and the close date, there is a canal from the Pacific to the Atrato river.
[image]A canal is any artificial waterway navigable by a boat of any size.
The canal will have to connect the Pacific to any part of the river as highlighted in the image.