Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.8%
Forecasters
54
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 10, 23, 8:53 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence before the end of 2027.
- It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing.
- House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison.
- However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
- Resolves NO otherwise
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence before the end of 2027.