Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.2%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJun 10, 23, 8:53 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 12:00 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence before the end of 2029.
- It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing.
- House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison.
- However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
- Resolves NO otherwise
