Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.7%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 10, 23, 8:53 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence before the end of 2028.
- It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing.
- House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison.
- However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
- Resolves NO otherwise
