Current community forecast
No 88.6%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJun 9, 24, 10:56 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will run for public office in 2026?
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Kalshiwill Jimmy Kimmel run for any public office before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRules
This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026.
- It will resolve no otherwise.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier? resolve?
- Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026.