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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 50%
Before Jan 1, 2028 50%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$121.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms?
Manifold MarketsHasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketWill Hasan Piker go to Michigan before Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHasan Piker a guest on Jimmy Kimmel Live! In 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for public office in 2026?
KalshiRules
If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Hasan PikerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any elected public office in any election year.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.