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Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2028 17%
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 8.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If, after Issuance and the named outcome, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Hasan PikerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
- The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2028 at 17% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office? resolve?
- Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If, after Issuance and the named outcome, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.