KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Jake Paul · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Jake Paul 1.6%Leader of 10 outcomes
Jake Paul 1.6%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.8
Open interest
$41.8K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Jake PaulSpread
—
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingMar 12, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Jake Paul
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PolymarketWill James Fishback announce a run for public office?
KalshiWill Hasan Piker announce a run for public office?
Kalshiwill Jimmy Kimmel run for any public office before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kyle Rittenhouse run for public office before the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Greta Thunberg run for public office before the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Jake Paul has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCpersonBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Rules for each outcome
- Jake Paul
- If Jake Paul has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joe Kent
- If Joe Kent has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Casey DeSantis
- If Casey DeSantis has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Danica Patrick
- If Danica Patrick has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Glenn Youngkin
- If Glenn Youngkin has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Matt Gaetz
- If Matt Gaetz has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mark Cuban
- If Mark Cuban has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nicki Minaj
- If Nicki Minaj has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Paul Finebaum
- If Paul Finebaum has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Matthew McConaughey
- If Matthew McConaughey has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.