Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
YearlyPoliticsUS PoliticsCombat SportsSports2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 90%
No 90%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$581
Low liquidityOpen interest
$6.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
7
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Mar 11, 26, 11:35 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.