Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 11, 2026, 11:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 64%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 days ago
StaleJul 9, 26, 5:12 PMJan 20, 29, 11:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes64%
Volume trend
$30Jul 93d of dataJul 11
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