Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 61% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030? resolve?

Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.

How is Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one-7.0pt54%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+4.0pt28.5%
• Gadi Eizenkot-1.0pt14.5%

+16 more outcomes

Total Vol

$7.7M

24h Vol

$855.9K

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 28+1.2pt100%
• October 31+1.2pt97%
• November 293%

+19 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+1.5pt62%
• December 31+5.3pt40%
• November 30+5.5pt29%

+22 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 27-0.1pt100%
• October 2999%
• October 3098%

+39 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

• No+0.2pt100%
• Yes-0.2pt0%

Total Vol

$4M

24h Vol

$410.7K

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

• No+2.0pt95%
• Yes-2.0pt5%

Total Vol

$28.3M

24h Vol

$145.4K

• Iran leadership change by which date?
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
• Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
• Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?