PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 11:12 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
20-24 · —
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Stored reference
20-24 41.6%Leader of 6 outcomes
20-24 41.6%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$64.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
20-24Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+24.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 26, 7:40 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 20-24
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
PolymarketWill 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from October 26, 2026, through November 1, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
