Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopoliticsCommodities2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 6:06 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
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PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
PolymarketRules
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only consider days after market creation (not any day in 2026 including before creation).
