Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastMicah Lasher 98.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
46
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 59 minutes ago
LaggingSep 6, 25, 7:12 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Will resolve whoever wins NY-12 according to reputable news sources.
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the certified winner of the 2026 U.S. House general election for New York’s 12th Congressional District (NY‑12).
- The named person’s answer resolves YES if NYS Board of Elections certifies them as the winner; all other answers resolve NO upon certification.
- Write‑ins count if certified; party line(s) under New York’s fusion voting are irrelevant.
- Special elections before November 3, 2026 do not count.
